Art Market Monitor

Global Coverage ~ Unique Analysis

  • AMMpro
  • AMM Fantasy Collecting Game
  • Podcast
  • Contact Us

Is the Art Market a Bubble? One Collector’s View

December 26, 2012 by Marion Maneker

A European collector we know writes in response to some of the recent stories about the impending burst of a presumed art market bubble:

I, for one, do not see any “bubble” as far as post-war art is concerned. What you have are basically micro-markets which are tightly controlled by a few players, or not.

I am not talking only about the Warhol or Basquiat markets, which are well known and whose inner workings are no longer mysterious. It also is the case for Fontana, Calder, Twombly and now Thiebaud, Stingler, Houseago (just some examples)…

You don’t see much when you attend an evening sale, because most of the people who make up the audience are starry-eyed gawkers. So what you get from those are mainly gossips (who presumably bought what, who presumably sold what…).

Now, if you attend a much less glamorous day-sale, that’s when you get a clearer picture. That’s when you see that the ones pushing up Calder are always the same two or three dealers. Most of the artists who make it to auction are backed by several players, collectors or dealers (auction houses in the case of second-rate Richters…) who are often heavily invested in them, but not always.

The real markets are in those sales and they do not look like bubbles at all, just business as usual. Sometimes it’s manipulated business; but frankly, who cares?

This is true for many micro-markets in the art business. There is a group of prowling  Belgian dealers, on the other hand, who will never let go of a Fontana or a Twombly if they are in the $500,000 to $1.5m price range.

Get past the small group of artists who have key players supporting the market and you get a better sense of the market. Take Philip Guston: he is not backed by anybody. So when a Guston comes to the market, be it good or average, they usually barely make the lower estimate (unless the estimate is unrealistically low), but they quietly sell.

So be it manipulated or not, beyond the evening sale bling, the market is working pretty smoothly.

More from Art Market Monitor

  • Glasgow’s Antiquities Sleuth Spots Four More Illicit Antiquities on MarketGlasgow’s Antiquities Sleuth Spots Four More Illicit Antiquities on Market
  • Miami Art Fair Stays LocalMiami Art Fair Stays Local
  • When Thaddaeus Met Jean-MichelWhen Thaddaeus Met Jean-Michel
  • How Chuck Close’s Brain Influences His ArtHow Chuck Close’s Brain Influences His Art
  • Dubious Attributions Mar Vietnamese Museum ExhibitionDubious Attributions Mar Vietnamese Museum Exhibition
  • Christie’s London Post-War & Contemporary = £58mChristie’s London Post-War & Contemporary = £58m

Filed Under: General

About Marion Maneker

LiveArt

Want to get Art Market Monitor‘s posts sent to you in our email? Sign up below by clicking on the Subscribe button.

  • About Us/ Contact
  • Podcast
  • AMMpro
  • Newsletter
  • FAQ

twitterfacebooksoundcloud
Privacy Policy
Terms & Conditions
California Privacy Rights
Do Not Sell My Personal Information
Advertise on Art Market Monitor
 

Loading Comments...